178 Items
Featured Insights
TIPS: Safer Than They Seem
By Victor Haghani and James WhiteESTIMATED READING TIME: 6 min. [addtoany] Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are offering a yield to maturity of 3.3% plus CPI inflation for 30 years. Just over five years ago, they offered a negative real yield. How times have changed! Since 30-year TIPS were first issued in 1998, long-term real yields have been consistently higher only in their infancy from 1998–2002. Perhaps most notable of all, a 3.3% real yield is
Published October 14, 2026
Investing 101
Weight Loss, No Ozempic Required: Whither the US Share of Global Stocks?
The US makes up 62% of global stock indexes, but just 42% of the world's total stock market value. Why the gap, and what might it mean for investors?
Published September 30, 2026
Featured Insights
Decoding the World's Bond Markets
What can today’s bond markets tell us about the future? We look across the U.S., Europe, U.K. and Japan to see what global yields may be signaling for investors.
Published September 18, 2026
Risk and Return
Do You Really Want to Be a Billionaire?
Would you risk going broke for a shot at becoming a billionaire? Maximizing extreme wealth can mean taking extreme risks.
Published September 1, 2026|5 min
Investing 101
Keeping Your Float Afloat: A Guide to Earning What You Deserve on Your Cash
Most of us keep a chunk of cash on hand — a "float." It's not meant to grow your wealth over decades, but that doesn't mean it should be earning nothing...and yet, for a surprising number of people, that's exactly what's happening.
Published August 19, 2026
Investing 101
Perpetual Futures: Mechanics, History and Purpose
The CFTC recently cleared the way for a new kind of contract - the perpetual future - to trade in the United States, opening the door for platforms like Kalshi and Coinbase...but the decision didn't sit well everywhere.
Published August 4, 2026
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Investing 101
What If Past Returns Were Indicative of Future Returns?
One of the central themes of our research is the importance of investment sizing. We’ve always preferred a more forward-looking approach – and to see why that’s our preference, it’s helpful to be precise about what we mean by 'expected return.'
Published July 29, 2026|6 min
Featured Insights
When Fear Spikes, Should You Buy?
High VIX readings may feel unsettling, but they've often coincided with attractive long-term buying opportunities.
Published June 30, 2026|5 min
In the News
The Smarter Planner Podcast: The Crystal Ball Trading Challenge: Are You Up for it?
In this episode of The Smarter Planner Podcast, host Belle Osvath welcomes back Victor Haghani, founder of Elm Wealth and co-author of The Missing Billionaires: A Guide to Better Financial Decisions.
Published June 18, 2026
Featured Insights
Do AIs Make Good Traders, and Do They Make Good Traders Better?
If AI can write code, pass exams, and reason through complex problems… can it beat the market? We put today's leading AI models to the test - and the results may surprise you.
Published June 17, 2026
Featured Insights
When a $10 Million Tax Break Isn't Worth the Wait
What if selling your startup shares could mean paying little to no federal capital gains tax? QSBS is one of the most powerful and overlooked wealth-building opportunities available.
Published May 20, 2026
Featured Insights
Where's My Lunch?
By design, a well-diversified portfolio always contains investments you may end up regretting...but that discomfort is the price of avoiding catastrophic outcomes.
Published May 11, 2026