December 6, 2024 — Victor Haghani started his career at Salomon Brothers and shortly after became a managing director in the bond arbitrage group run by John Meriwether. He was a founding partner of Long-Term Capital Management and established its London office. The failure of LTCM was a life-changing experience that led him to question and revise much of the way he thought about the economy, markets, and investing. His new book - The Missing Billionaires is a personal

November 20, 2024 —

October 24, 2024 — Vanguard founder John Bogle‘s “cost matters hypothesis” (CMH) was based on the mathematical truth that the sum of all active portfolios equals the market portfolio. From this it follows that the average return on all active portfolios must equal the market return, minus the fees charged by active investment managers. This may have been the single most powerful argument driving the relentless growth of indexing over the past 30 years. However, now that trading and

October 14, 2024 — It sounds like an investor’s wildest dream. A surprising experiment shows that it shouldn’t be. Huge sums are lavished each year on Wall Street economists and strategists asked to gaze into their crystal balls ahead of market-moving economic numbers. When they mostly get it wrong and there is a surprise, the news is big enough to make front-page news in the next day’s print edition of The Wall Street Journal. But what if a trader